Publications

Projected impacts of Medicaid work requirements: An overview of current state proposals

Several brown file tabs, with the center one reading "Requirements", referring to the new Michigan Medicaid work requirements.

A checklist with red checkmarks and "Requirements" written in red, indicating the Medicaid work requirements.As of January 2019, 14 states have submitted proposals to the federal government requesting permission to establish work requirements in their Medicaid programs. To date, the U.S. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) has approved Medicaid work requirements for seven states, and two states (Arkansas and Indiana) have begun implementing these requirements for Medicaid beneficiaries. This overview examines the projected impacts of these Medicaid work requirements.

In June 2018, Michigan enacted work requirements for many enrollees in the Healthy Michigan Plan (HMP), Michigan’s expanded Medicaid program for low-income adults.

Beginning in January 2020, HMP enrollees under age 63 will be required to report 80 hours of work per month or obtain an exemption (see CHRT’s previous fact sheet, Proposed Medicaid Work Requirements in Michigan).

The Michigan House Fiscal Agency initially estimated that the impact of Medicaid work requirements would result in approximately 80 percent of enrollees subject to the requirements, while 20 percent would qualify for an exemption.  More recently, an independent analysis by Manatt Health projected that 39 percent of HMP enrollees would be automatically exempt (based on age, pregnancy, medically frail, or incarceration status; or because they are already meeting SNAP/TANF work requirements), while 61 percent would be required to report work hours or obtain an exemption. This analysis estimated that 9 to 27 percent of all HMP enrollees could lose coverage over a one-year period.

Most of the 14 states that have requested federal permission to establish Medicaid work requirements have projected that some current Medicaid enrollees will lose coverage as a result of these changes. While estimates vary, states have projected that anywhere from 5 percent to 50 percent of the populations subject to work requirements (i.e., those who are not currently working and do not qualify for an exemption) are estimated to lose coverage. The Kaiser Family Foundation has estimated that, if a work requirement were implemented at the national level, approximately 1.4 to 4 million enrollees (6-17 percent of non-elderly, non-disabled adult Medicaid enrollees) would lose coverage.

Early experience from Arkansas indicates that administrative or structural barriers may prevent individuals from complying with work requirements. According to a recent report from the Kaiser Family Foundation, many Medicaid enrollees were unaware of the new requirements and unable to navigate the state’s online-only reporting system. In addition, enrollees may face a lack of jobs (especially in rural areas), transportation, and/or internet access to obtain information about job and volunteer opportunities.

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Proposed work requirements for Medicaid in Michigan: June 7, 2018

A white sheet of paper with writing. A green highlighter is highlighting the word "legislation", referring to new Michigan Medicaid work requirements.

At the start of 2018, the U.S. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) announced a major shift in federal policy that would allow states to request permission to establish, and test the impact of, work and community engagement requirements for able-bodied adults receiving Medicaid health insurance coverage. In the last five months, work requirement proposals have been approved in four states; formal applications have been submitted by seven more, and a number of others are preparing proposals. Michigan is among the states proposing Medicaid work requirements.

In April, the Michigan State Senate took the first step toward establishing work requirements by passing Senate Bill 897. The Michigan House of Representatives passed an updated version of the bill on June 6. And on the morning of June 7, the Michigan Senate approved the revisions and sent the bill to the Governor’s office for signature.

In this fact sheet, we compare the characteristics and projected impact of Michigan’s most recent Medicaid work requirement proposal against the characteristics and projected impact of approved work requirement proposals in Kentucky, Indiana, Arkansas, and New Hampshire. We also describe new requirements for Healthy Michigan Plan enrollees who wish to maintain coverage after four years, and a series of triggers that would terminate the Healthy Michigan Plan if CMS fails to approve these requirements.

To learn more, read our Consumer’s Guide to the Medicaid work requirements.

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Setting the stage for the 2019 Health Insurance Marketplace

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A screenshot of "Healthcare.gov", a site for the Health Insurance Marketplace.The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services is rolling back regulations around rate increases, essential health benefits, health insurance navigators, and more, for insurers offering Qualified Health Plan coverage on the Health Insurance Marketplace in 2019.

On April 9, 2018, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) issued new guidance for insurers offering Qualified Health Plan (QHP) coverage on the Health Insurance Marketplace created under the Affordable Care Act. In this guidance, CMS made several important changes intended to provide states with greater flexibility to regulate their individual and small group health insurance markets beginning in 2019.1 

In a new fact sheet, CHRT compares the current rules and regulations to the changes that go into effect in 2019—with a special focus on Michigan. The face sheet reviews essential health benefits, health insurance navigators, maximum out-of-pocket limits, standardized plan options, rate increase reviews, medical loss ratio, risk adjustment, silver loading, individual mandate hardship exemptions, projected premium and federal spending changes, and the timeline for the 2019 filing process in Michigan.

Here are just a few highlights:

  • Rate increases under 15 percent will no longer require review;
  • Simple choice standardized plans will be eliminated; and
  • Consumer cost-sharing limits will increase by 7 percent.

These changes to the 2019 Health Insurance Marketplace will impact Michigan consumers as soon as November 1, 2018, when the next Marketplace Open Enrollment Period begins.

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Update: For more information about the 2019 Health Insurance Marketplace, read our rate analysis.

Proposed work requirements for Medicaid in Michigan: April 20, 2018

A stack of red and yellow files and notebooks. On the top notebook, "Proposal A-2136" is written in black marker, referencing Michigan's proposed Medicaid work requirements.

A stack of red and yellow files and notebooks. On the top notebook, "Proposal A-2136" is written in black marker, referencing Michigan's proposed Medicaid work requirements.At the start of 2018, the U.S. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services announced a major shift in federal policy that would allow states to request permission to establish, and test the impact of, work and community engagement requirements for able-bodied adults receiving Medicaid health insurance coverage. In early March, Michigan state senators took the first step toward preparing a Medicaid work requirement proposal of their own by introducing Senate Bill 897. The bill passed the Michigan State Senate on April 19.

In the last three months, work requirement proposals have been approved in three states; formal applications have been submitted by seven more; and a number of others are preparing proposals.

In this fact sheet, we compare the characteristics and projected impact of Michigan’s Medicaid work requirement proposal against the characteristics and projected impact of approved work requirement proposals in Kentucky, Indiana, and Arkansas.

The characteristics we compare include: target Medicaid populations, Medicaid enrollment, populations exempt from the new work requirements, the hours of work required, activities counted as work, and loss of coverage rules. It is difficult to project the impact of work requirements on the Medicaid population because there is no precedent program, but we discuss some possibilities.

READ THE BRIEF

For updated information, read our article from June 7.

Bipartisan Budget Act adds $3B for substance abuse, mental health, more

A handshake between a red hand and a blue hand, indicating the bipartisanism of the Bipartisan Budget Act.

A handshake between a red hand and a blue hand, indicating the bipartisanism of the Bipartisan Budget Act.The Bipartisan Budget Act was signed into law on February 9, 2018. While the main purpose of the legislation is to temporarily fund the federal government through March 23, 2018, it also includes an agreement to raise the caps on domestic and military spending for the next two years.

The legislation includes many health care policies, as well. The health care policies in the Bipartisan Budget Act include:

  • New funding for the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and for substance abuse and mental health programs related to the opioid epidemic.
  • Extenders and reauthorizations for the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP); Community Health Centers; the Maternal, Infant and Early Childhood Home Visiting Program; Medicare Extenders; a Medicare Therapy Caps Repeal; the National Health Service Corps; and the Teaching Health Center Graduate Medical Education Program.
  • Policy changes relating to the Creating High-Quality Results and Outcomes Necessary to Improve Chronic Care Act; the “Doughnut Hole” Closure; the Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB); Medicaid Disproportionate Share Hospital (DSH) Cuts; and Medicare Home Health Reforms.
  • Key offsets for Medicare Parts B & D Premiums, Physician Fee Schedules, and the Prevention and Public Health Fund (PPHF).

To learn the details of the health care policies included in the Bipartisan Budget Act, read the full brief.

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Health Care Provisions in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (H.R. 1)

Buttons decorated like the American flag, with "Tax Cuts and Jobs Act" written on them.

Buttons decorated like the American flag, with "Tax Cuts and Jobs Act" written on them.The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act passed the U.S. House of Representatives on November 16, 2017, and an amended version passed the U.S. Senate on December 2, 2017. Congress reconciled the differences between the two bills in a compromise conference report.

While the purpose of the legislation is to reduce tax rates for businesses and individuals, it includes several major health care policy changes. 

For instance, the act repeals the tax penalty for those who choose not to enroll in health insurance. CBO estimates the impact of this will be that 13 million fewer individuals will have health insurance over 10 years and health insurance premiums for ACA Marketplace plans will increase an additional 10% per year.

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act also lowers the threshold of health care tax deductions from 10% to 7.5% of income for 2017 and 2018. This means that more taxpayers and more expenses will be eligible for the deduction.

Finally, the act limits the tax credit amount for pharmaceutical companies that develop drugs to treat rare diseases from 50% to 25% of qualified clinical testing expenses.

READ THE BRIEF

Editor’s Note: CHRT updated this fact sheet Jan. 12, 2018 to include more recent Medicare beneficiary numbers, updated information on PAYGO, and reflect that the conference report is now law.

Health Insurance Marketplace in Michigan 2018: Rate Analysis

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Screenshot of the healthcare.gov website, location of the Health Insurance Marketplace

In 2017, the federal government took several regulatory and administrative actions that affect the health insurance marketplaces created under the Affordable Care Act (ACA). At the same time that Congress considered legislative proposals to repeal and replace the ACA, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) promulgated new regulations that changed annual open enrollment dates and announced the end of cost-sharing reduction payments to insurers. These developments, in addition to several other factors, have impacted Marketplace carrier participation and plan pricing in Michigan. This brief analyzes the rates in the 2018 Health Insurance Marketplace in Michigan.

Key findings include:

  • Michigan continues to have a robust Marketplace. Eight insurers are participating in Michigan’s health insurance marketplace in 2018, a decrease of two insurers from 2017.
  • Michigan consumers can select from a variety of Marketplace plans. There are 12 to 52 plans offered in each of Michigan’s 83 counties.
  • Across all counties, the average premium increase for the lowest cost and second-lowest cost silver plans is 33 percent and 34 percent, respectively. Premiums for the lowest cost bronze plan increased by 16 percent, and premiums for the lowest cost gold plan increased by 6 percent.
  • Premium tax credits are linked to the cost of the local second-lowest cost silver plan. All else equal, individuals who are eligible for premium tax credits could receive a larger tax credit in 2018 due to premium increases for the second-lowest cost silver plan. In 23 counties, larger tax credit amounts will eliminate the cost difference between renewing the 2017 lowest cost silver plan and actively enrolling in the 2018 lowest cost silver plan.
  • The federal government reduced the open enrollment period to 45 days, from 92 days in 2017.
  • Federal financial support for Michigan Navigators to help with open enrollment has been reduced by 72 percent, from $2,228,692 in 2017 to $627,958 in 2018.

READ THE BRIEF

Select Affordable Care Act replacement plans and implications

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White paper reading "ACA Affordable Care Act" with a stethoscope and pen laid over it.No single replacement for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) has yet emerged. However, there are several ideas that seem to have considerable support among those in health care leadership roles in President Trump’s Administration and Congress.

This brief, Select Affordable Care Act Replacement Plans and Implications, summarizes the key features of the most developed full repeal and replacement plans offered to date.

The provisions that are summarized include:

  • Replace the individual mandate with a continuous coverage requirement
  • Change tax subsidies
  • Expand Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)
  • Allow adult dependents up to age 26 to stay on their parents’ plan
  • Replace the ACA’s “Cadillac Tax” with a cap on the tax exclusion for employer-sponsored insurance
  • Medicaid block grants per capita cost limits
  • Implement high-risk pools
  • Loosen benefit design requirements
  • Widen age bands
  • Permit association health plans
  • Permit interstate insurance sales
  • Reform medical liability

The brief summarizes Representative Paul Ryan’s A Better Way proposal, Representative Tom Price’s Empower Patients First Act, and Senator Richard Burr, Senator Orrin Hatch, and Representative Fred Upton’s The Patient Choice, Affordability, Responsibility, and Empowerment Act. It also details who is primarily affected by each provision and the implications.

You can also see CHRT’s companion piece, ACA Repeal and Replacement: Proposals and Action, for a one-page summary of the plans and tentative process.

READ THE BRIEF

ACA Repeal and Replacement: Proposals and Action

Yellow road sign reading "Affordable Care Act" with a red x over the words to indicate repealing the ACA..Beginning last month, both U.S. President Donald Trump and the U.S. Congress began taking steps to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act (ACA). However, a single replacement strategy has not yet emerged.

In a new one-page fact sheet, CHRT summarizes the most developed ACA repeal and replacement proposals offered to date and outlines the tentative replacement process.

You can also review CHRT’s companion piece, Select Affordable Care Act Replacement Plans and Implications, for a detailed table summarizing the key features and implications of the most developed full ACA repeal and replacement plans offered to date.

The face sheet summarizes three full replacements for the ACA: the House Republicans’ “A Better Way” proposal, Rep. Tom Price’s “Empowering Patients First Act”, and the Burr-Hatch-Upton “Patient Choice, Affordability, Responsibility, and Empowerment Act”. It also summarizes one partial replacement, the Cassidy-Collins “Patient Freedom Act”.

The fact sheet also details the process to repeal and replace the ACA. We summarize President Trump’s January 20 Executive Order and the 2017 Congressional Action. On January 3, the Senate Budget Committee created a budget resolution to provide framework for a partial ACA repeal using budget reconciliation. On January 12 the resolution received full Senate approval and on January 13 it received full House approval.

The House and Senate committees intended to have draft actual reconciliation legislation by January 27, but this has been delayed. April 15 is the prescribed deadline under current rules for the House and Senate to adopt annual budget resolutions, but this is generally not enforced. June 15 is the prescribed deadline to enact any reconciliation legislation, but this is also generally not enforced.

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Rate Analysis: Michigan’s 2017 Health Insurance Marketplace

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Screenshot of HealthCare.gov, with information on the 2017 Health Insurance Marketplace.While the results of the 2016 presidential election have sparked recent debates about options to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, the health insurance marketplaces created under the law continue to operate as usual. So although the future of the law remains unknown, Michigan consumers who enroll in the 2017 Health Insurance Marketplace can likely expect their coverage to remain uninterrupted for the 2017 plan year.

The changing dynamics of the health insurance marketplace are important for 2017 enrollees to understand. Under current federal policy, enrollees who do not actively apply and enroll in 2017 coverage are auto-renewed into their 2016 plan, if it continues to be offered. Beginning with the 2017 open enrollment period, individuals who were enrolled in a plan offered by an issuer that is no longer participating in the marketplace will automatically be enrolled into a plan offered in their area by a different carrier if they do not actively choose another plan.

In addition, changes to benchmark plans directly affect premium tax credit amounts, so many enrollees will need to balance potentially higher costs for renewing their 2016 plan with other important considerations, such as the breadth of available provider networks.

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